January/February issue
Crooks gang up to beat banks

Paul Gosling
Citibank, Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds TSB and Halifax Bank
of Scotland. Plus Visa, PayPal, SwiftPay, eBay and Amazon. Quite
a roll-call of famous victims of the “phishing” email
scam (see note) that has set back by years the carefully constructed
public confidence in online banking and ecommerce.
Nor are phishing emails by any means the only online attacks banks
and financial services companies face. There are also the counterfeit
websites which the phish emails link to. These can easily fool the
unwary with their apparently authentic web addresses and corporate
logos. And there are virus attacks and hacks into computer systems
which can either distort data or create denial of service (DOS)
failures for anyone trying to access banks’ websites. By the
end of last year, nearly 50 banks and financial services providers
had been “passed off” by spammed phishes. The total
damage from the various forms of online attacks was probably around
$3 billion, says security analyst mi2g.
But while the targets, both corporate and consumer, are obvious,
there is a raging debate about the profile of the culprits. Is it
the 14 or 17 year old sitting alone at a computer in Bucharest or
Bogata, or is it masterminded by a mafia hardman in Sicily or Serbia?
Feeding the wolf
Neil Barrett, technical director at Information Risk Management
(IRM) and a professor at Cranfield University, believes that organised
crime is probably now heavily involved in attempting to extort money
from banks, either through DoS attacks or through phishing emails.
The rise in the number of attacks makes Barrett suspect that some
corporations are paying up. This is despite the longer term impact
on the corporate sector that payment encourages.
“Nobody has sat down with me and said that they have definitely
paid out on a extortion demand,” concedes Barrett. “But
I have seen attacks disappear, which I can see no reason for unless
the attackers were paid off. So I have to believe that this is what
happened.”
Barrett, like other analysts, believes that organised crime is
a much bigger threat than political activists with anti-capitalist
or even pro-Al Qaeda sympathies. This is suggested by the number
of attacks that originate in Russia, Bulgaria and other former Soviet
countries, where former KGB technical specialists operate on a freelance
basis, suggests Barrett. Some may be demanding a pay-off, others
are obtaining information to order, or delving into banks’
databases to find evidence with which to blackmail business leaders
or politicians, such as evidence of mistresses, for example..
DK Matai, executive chairman of intelligence advisor mi2g, suggests
that banks face threats on three main fronts: the so-called phishing
emails, denial of service attacks, and distributed viruses. “The
most worrying development is the financial fraud scams setting up
look-alike web sites,” he believes. “The objective here
is simple fraud at the expense of bank and customer. The success
of this fraud is evident by the way in which banks and customers
have been targeted in much of the world, including the UK, US and
the Baltic states.”
But, argues Matai, the biggest threat in the future may be from
denial of service (DoS) attacks on banks’ websites, as organised
crime attempts to extort money. Up to now the main targets have
been online gambling and other e-commerce websites, says Matai,
but banks can expect to suffer more of this type of attack in coming
months.
mi2g's predictions for 2004
- Forms of attack — denial of service, hackers, viruses,
worms and spam
— will integrate. Most targeted countries will be
US, UK, Germany and
other NATO members. Most attacks will come from developing
countries.
- Spam will become a propaganda tool for rogue states and
militant and
religious groups.
- Spam will increase and may constitute two-thirds of emails.
Productivity
loss from spam will grow to $60bn in year. Executives will
revert from
email to fax.
- Motivation for viruses, hacking and spam will be financial
gain. Identity
fraud will proliferate, aimed at online bank accounts and
electronic
payment facilities.
- Command and control attacks will target financial services
and other key
sectors, combining “malware”, hacker attacks
and insiders, taking out
ATMs and other services.
- Offshore outsourcing centres will be at risk from local
organised crime,
with staff involvement.
- There will be more attacks by fundamentalist Islamists
based in Morocco,
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Pakistan, central Asian republics,
Indonesia
and Malaysia.
- There will be three major forms of “malware”
— virus or worm —
attacks in 2004, each costing $30bn.
- Governments and large businesses will set up early warning
centres and
begin to migrate from proprietary to open source solutions.
Transnational
criminal syndicates involved in drug trafficking, contraband,
counterfeit goods, illegal immigrants, credit card and other
financial
fraud and computer crime will be busted.
- Fixed connection computing will give way to wireless connectivity.
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“There is no published evidence that any bank has been hit
by DoS attacks, but we believe that the biggest threat in 2004 is
the combination of extortion demands with DoS attacks,” says
Matai. “We believe that the most advanced hackers are Russian
or from part of the Russian Federation, including the Ukraine. The
most prolific are from Latin America.”
The international character of those attacking major corporations’
websites can perhaps be gauged by one incident. The US Attorney’s
office in California has been pursuing a Ukrainian national for
the last three years. It alleged he caused losses of $100 million
through various offences, including credit card fraud, counterfeit
software production and money laundering. The man was eventually
arrested in Thailand, where he was travelling on a false identity.
Many of the more sophisticated operations are part of organised
crime syndicates, where the gangs may also traffic in humans, drugs
and other extortion schemes, says Matai. Typically, the online operations
are part of a wider attempt at mass identity fraud which may be
used for a variety of purposes, he says.
Peter Yapp, director of IT services at the Control Risks Group,
another security consultancy, agrees that banks need to view attacks
on them as part of concerted campaigns of identity theft. The first
symptom may be the use of someone’s credit card for a fraudulent
transaction, but the second incident may be an application for a
duplicate passport that will enable an illegal immigrant to enter
the European Union.
“Fraud based on identity theft is the number one issue,”
says Yapp. “There is a lack of education of the public and
they are falling for this (through phish emails) all over the world.
Banks have got to raise the awareness level so that all customers
understand that they would never be contacted in this way, asking
password information and PIN numbers by email.
“This type of crime has been around for a long time. Crooks
do go through people’s bins. Customers have to be taught never
to throw credit card slips away. But if you couple this with online
account information you can do everything a lot quicker. People
are very lax with what they do with their personal details.”
Yapp warns that if a scammer can obtain the personal information
banks typically hold on customers, such as name, address, date and
place of birth and mother’s maiden name, then they are well
placed to obtain a false passport too.
But, he argues, it is easy to overstate connections between the
phishing fraud and major organised crime. “Some of the counterfeit
websites have been fairly sophisticated,” he concedes. “There
is a chance that organised crime sees this as a quick win. But I
suspect most of this is at the low level, younger end
of the market, or carried out by part time hackers. It’s fairly
easy to do.”
While Yapp’s analysis is at odds with other observers, most
agree that there is a link between online attacks against the banks
and Islamic fundamentalist and/or anti-capitalist terrorism. “We
have looked at whether there is linkage between IT attacks and bombers,
and so on,” explains Yapp, “but the feeling is that
it is not organised. People might be inspired by teachings to do
something, but they are not the same as the bombers, and there are
no organised links.”
mi2g takes the same view, even though its statistics show an upsurge
in attacks on Western targets after military actions against targets
in Islamic countries.
So what should banks do now? As well as educating the public, as
Yapp suggests, mi2g’s Matai argues that banks will have to
challenge the assumption that consumers have the right technology
for conducting online transactions. He argues that banks must accept
that their existing online security systems are inadequate, and
that only a step-up in technology will resolve this. He believes
that banks must take a lead in improving online authentication.
Ultimately this will have to involve either smart card readers attached
to PCs and laptops, or else by the use of a mouse which allows biometric
authentication of identity.
“These developments have not taken off as yet because banks
say they have five million customers online and the cost of moving
them onto higher level of authentication is too great. And there
is a learning curve,” says Matai. But he believes that at
some point banks will be forced to make the investment as more customers
are put off online transactions because of the perception of high
fraud risk.
Banks may also be forced to re-examine their use of operating systems.
mi2g’s analysis found that companies that use Microsoft operating
systems were the most susceptible to denial of service attacks,
but those which adopted Linux systems had the highest number of
hacker intrusions.
IRM’s Barrett believes that the level of sophistication
of the attackers is such that banks cannot afford to operate in
isolation. He argues they must co-operate more. “Banks must
work together to solve this in the same way they work together to
counter credit card fraud or scams relating to money laundering,”
he says. “No individual bank can hope to fix this themselves.
And it is not something banks should seek to compete on. They need
to show a united front.”
Barrett also believes that the vulnerability of banks indicates
that most fail to give IT security specialists the enterprise-wide
access they need to implement fraud prevention policies more effectively.
If you listen carefully you might hear a chorus of IT professionals
around the world agree.
Paul Gosling is a freelance journalist who specialises in finance
and information technology, and who is author of several books.
He writes for The Independent, Public Finance, Accounting &
Business (news editor), and First Voice.
NOTE
Antiphishing.org, a web-based group set up to stop phishing
attacks, says
“Phishing attacks involve the mass distribution of 'spoofed'
e-mail messages
with return addresses, links, and branding which appear to
come from
banks, insurance agencies, retailers or credit card companies.
These
fraudulent messages are designed to fool the recipients into
divulging
personal authentication data such as account usernames and
passwords,
credit card numbers, social security numbers, etc. Because
these emails look
“official”, up to 20% of recipients may respond
to them, resulting in
financial losses, identity theft, and other fraudulent activity.
For more details see the website at www.antiphishing.org
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